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A PRIORI: A presumption made before an analysis is undertaken, often based on experiences, beliefs, or deductions from seemingly self-evident propositions about how the world works. This is a Latin for assumption or axiom. A similar sounding, but opposite term is a posteriori, which is derived from observation or facts. For example, in the study of economics of crime you might assume, a priori, that people are basically "good", because that just seems to be part of human nature, and conclude, a posteriori, that people are more likely to commit crimes when the threat of capture and conviction is lower.

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SEVENTH RULE OF COMPLEXITY

The seventh of seven basic rules of the economy, stating that every action in the complex world has direct and often intended consequences combined with indirect and probably unintended effects.

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GRAY SKITTERY
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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time at a going out of business sale looking to buy either a hepa filter for your furnace or a wall poster commemorating next Thursday. Be on the lookout for empty parking spaces that appear to be near the entrance to a store.
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Cyrus McCormick not only invented the reaper for harvesting grain, he also invented the installment payment for selling his reaper.
"The vacuum created by failure to communicate will quickly be filled with rumor, misrepresentations, drivel and poison. "

-- C. Northcote Parkinson, historian

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