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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATOR: One of eleven economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months before the expansions and contractions of the business cycle. These leading indicators are -- manufacturers new orders, an index of vendor performance, orders for plant and equipment, Standard & Poor's 500 index of stock prices, new building permits, durable goods manufacturers unfilled orders, the money supply, change in materials prices, average workweek in manufacturing, changes in business and consumer credit, a consumer confidence index, and initial claims for unemployment insurance. Leading indicators indicate what the aggregate economy is likely to do, business-cycle-wise, 3 to 12 months down the road. When leading indicators rise today, then the rest of the economy is likely to rise in the coming year. And when leading indicators decline, then the economy is likely to decline in 3 to 12 months.
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EQUILIBRIUM A state that exists when opposing forces are in balance, with each force exactly offsetting the other, such that there is no inherent tendency for change. Once achieved, an equilibrium persists unless or until it is disrupted by an outside force. The notion of equilibrium is an essential feature in most economic models, such as the market model.
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YELLOW CHIPPEROON
[What's This?]
Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time waiting for visits from door-to-door solicitors trying to buy either a 200-foot blue garden hose or a video camera with stop action features. Be on the lookout for gnomes hiding in cypress trees.
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The Dow Jones family of stock market price indexes began with a simple average of 11 stock prices in 1884.
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"Security can only be achieved through constant change, through discarding old ideas that have outlived their usefulness and adapting others to current facts. " -- William O. Douglas, Supreme Court Justice
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PPP
Purchasing Power Parity
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