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PEAK: The transition of a business cycle from an expansion and a contraction. The end of an expansions carries the descriptive term peak. At the peak, the economy has reached the highest level of production in recent times. The bad thing about a peak, however, is that it is a turning point, a turning point to a contraction. So even though a peak is the "highest" is not necessarily something we want. We would prefer never to reach the peak.

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GOOD

A physical, tangible item or product used to satisfy wants and needs. A good is produced using society's resources and represents a fundamental aspect of the economy. Limited resources are used to produced the goods that satisfy unlimited wants and needs in an ongoing effort to address the problem of scarcity.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time watching the shopping channel looking to buy either semi-gloss photo paper that works with your neighbor's printer or a birthday gift for your father that doesn't look like every other birthday gift for your father. Be on the lookout for strangers with large satchels of used undergarments.
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General Electric is the only stock from the original 1896 Dow Jones Industrial Average remaining in the current index.
"No great performance ever came from holding back. "

-- Don Greene, motivational coach, former Green Beret

IGARCH
Integrated Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity
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