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LONG-RUN TREND: The general movement over time of particular measurement, especially one prone toward shorter term fluctuations. One of the most important long-run trends in the study of macroeconomics is for real GDP. The long-run trend of real GDP, which has historically increased about 3% a year, indicates the increase in the economy's production capabilities. Such capabilities have increased due to increases in the quantity and quality of resources.
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CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX A measure of consumer attitudes, preferences, and expectations concerning the state of the economy and business cycle conditions that is compiled each month by The Conference Board. The Conference Board is also responsible for compiling the leading, coincident, and lagging economic indicators. The Consumer Confidence Index is one of two primary measures of consumer attitudes. The other is the Index of Consumer Sentiment developed by the University of Michigan.
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BROWN PRAGMATOX
[What's This?]
Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time driving to a factory outlet hoping to buy either semi-gloss photo paper that works with your neighbor's printer or a birthday gift for your father that doesn't look like every other birthday gift for your father. Be on the lookout for the last item on a shelf.
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Post WWI induced hyperinflation in German in the early 1900s raised prices by 726 million times from 1918 to 1923.
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"It had long since come to my attention that people of accomplishment rarely sat back and let things happen to them. They went out and happened to things. " -- Elinor Smith, aviator
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IGARCH
Integrated Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity
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