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December 12, 2025 

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RECOVERY: A early expansionary phase of the business cycle shortly after a contraction has ended, but before a full-blown expansion begins. During a recovery, the unemployment rate remains relatively high, but it is beginning to fall. Real gross domestic product has begun to increase, usually rapidly. However, because the contraction remains fresh in the minds of many, it may not be immediately clear that the trough of the contraction has been reached.

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AUTONOMOUS GOVERNMENT PURCHASES

Government purchases by the government sector that do not depend on income or production (especially national income or gross domestic product). That is, changes in income do not generate changes in government purchases. Autonomous government purchases are best thought of as government purchases that the government sector undertake independent of income. They are measured by the intercept term of the government purchases line. The alternative to autonomous government purchases is induced government purchases, which do depend on income.

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GREEN LOGIGUIN
[What's This?]

Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time at a dollar discount store hoping to buy either a really, really exciting, action-filled video game or a coffee cup commemorating the moon landing. Be on the lookout for jovial bank tellers.
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This isn't me! What am I?

Ragnar Frisch and Jan Tinbergen were the 1st Nobel Prize winners in Economics in 1969.
"Defeat is simply a signal to press onward."

-- Helen Keller, lecturer, author

NAIRU
Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment
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