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JOBLESS CLAIMS: The number of people filing for the first time to receive unemployment compensation benefits during a given time period, usually one week. Jobless claims are key indicator of current economic activity and are one of twelve leading economic indicators that forecast business cycle activity. A rise in jobless claims is a clear indication that fewer people are employed, the unemployment rate is on the rise, and the economy is headed into a contraction.

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Lesson 12: Business Cycles | Unit 3: Measurement Page: 12 of 26

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Since the 1930s Great Depression, when the modern study of economics was prompted, economists have sought indicators of business cycles.

Some indicators are:

  • Real GDP, the unemployment rate, and the inflation rate are useful measures, but they measure only specific aspects of the economy. These may not be the best indicators of overall business cycle activity.Economists have identified three sets of indicators to track business cycles:
    • Leading indicators.
    • Coincident indicators.
    • Lagging indicators.

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TOTAL-MARGINAL RELATION

A mathematical connection between a marginal value and the corresponding total value stating that the marginal IS the slope of the total curve. This mathematical relation between total and marginal surfaces throughout the study of economics, especially utility (total utility and marginal utility), production (total product and marginal product), cost (total cost and marginal cost), and revenue (total revenue and marginal revenue). A related mathematical relation exists between a marginal value and the corresponding average value.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time touring the new suburban shopping complex wanting to buy either an AC adapter that won't fry your computer or a case for your designer sunglasses. Be on the lookout for telephone calls from former employers.
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The wealthy industrialist, Andrew Carnegie, was once removed from a London tram because he lacked the money needed for the fare.
"The greatest things ever done on Earth have been done little by little. "

-- William Jennings Bryan

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