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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATOR: One of eleven economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months before the expansions and contractions of the business cycle. These leading indicators are -- manufacturers new orders, an index of vendor performance, orders for plant and equipment, Standard & Poor's 500 index of stock prices, new building permits, durable goods manufacturers unfilled orders, the money supply, change in materials prices, average workweek in manufacturing, changes in business and consumer credit, a consumer confidence index, and initial claims for unemployment insurance. Leading indicators indicate what the aggregate economy is likely to do, business-cycle-wise, 3 to 12 months down the road. When leading indicators rise today, then the rest of the economy is likely to rise in the coming year. And when leading indicators decline, then the economy is likely to decline in 3 to 12 months.

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Lesson 8: Market Shocks | Unit 1: Adjustments Page: 2 of 20

Topic: Three Questions <=PAGE BACK | PAGE NEXT=>

There are three basic questions about market changes which we need to ask in this lesson.

Three questions:

  • What causes the market to move? What shocks the market? What disrupts the market from it's existing equilibrium?
  • What are the consequences of the move to the market? What is the price and quantity at the new market equilibrium?
  • Is the market move good or bad? How does the new equilibrium compare with the old? Is the price higher or lower? Is the quantity greater or less? Three Questions

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EXPENDITURES MULTIPLIER

A measure of the change in aggregate production caused by changes in an autonomous expenditure. The expenditures multiplier is the inverse of one minus the slope of the aggregate expenditures line. The simple expenditures multiplier includes ONLY induced consumption. More complex expenditures multipliers include other induced components. Two related multipliers are the tax multiplier, which measures the change in aggregate production caused by changes in taxes, and the balanced-budget multiplier which measures the change in aggregate production from equal changes in both taxes and government purchases.

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BROWN PRAGMATOX
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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time going from convenience store to convenience store trying to buy either a lazy Susan for you dining room table or a set of serrated steak knives, with durable plastic handles. Be on the lookout for infected paper cuts.
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A half gallon milk jug holds about $50 in pennies.
"Be kind and merciful. Let no one ever come to you without coming away better and happier."

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Inter-American Development Bank
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