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FORECASTING: The process of anticipating and predicting economic conditions months or years before fact using statistical estimation techniques the model economic activity. Forecasting most often employs sophisticated mathematical models (with hundreds equations). However, specific measures (such as the stock market) or composite indexes that have been shown to lead economic activity (that is, leading economic indicator) are also effectively used for forecasting.
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ECONOMICS A social science that studies the allocation of limited resources used to produce the goods and services that satisfy unlimited consumer wants and needs. Economics is one of several social sciences (others are sociology, political science, and anthropology) which applies the scientific method to human behavior. The distinguishing feature of economics is a concern with the fundamental problem of scarcity--unlimited wants and needs and limited resources. Economics is commonly divided into two branches--macroeconomics and microeconomics.
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"My life as a writer consists of 1/8 talent and 7/8 discipline. " -- John Irving, writer
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The Crystal Ball Of ECONOMIC FORECASTINGHow often has this happened to you? You've packed a tasty picnic lunch, donned your spiffy-looking swimwear, loaded up the beach blanket and umbrella, then headed for the artificial waves of the local Happy-Time Gala-World Fun-Land Water Park expecting bright sunshine and warm temperatures. However, upon reaching Happy-Time Gala-World Fun-Land Water Park you find that the economy has fallen into a deep recession, with high unemployment rates and sluggish production, and the owners of the Happy-Time Gala-World Fun-Land Water Park have been forced to turn off the artificial wave machine, dismantle the water slides, and drain the pool. (It's also raining and 50 degrees. We will, however, ignore those problems because this isn't A Pedestrian's Guide to Meteorology.)
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PURPLE SMARPHIN
[What's This?]
Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time searching the newspaper want ads trying to buy either storage boxes for your winter clothes or several magazines on time travel. Be on the lookout for poorly written technical manuals.
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More money is spent on gardening than on any other hobby.
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NSF
National Science Foundation
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