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SCIENCE: A discipline, or topic of study, that uses the scientific method to investigate and explain the operation of the world by testing and verifying hypothesized relationships. While the term science is often used in reference to the physical sciences, including chemistry, physics, and biology, it's also relevant to social sciences, including economics, sociology, and political science. The reason is that science is not really a subject, but a method of investigation--the scientific method. The scientific method is uses theories to derived hypotheses which are verified against real world data.

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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS

Ten economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months BEFORE business-cycle expansions and contractions. Most importantly, these measures indicate peak and trough turning points about three to twelve months before they occur. Leading economic indicators are one of three groups of economic measures used to track business-cycle activity. The other two are coincident economic indicators and lagging economic indicators.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time flipping through the yellow pages hoping to buy either a remote controlled train set or a genuine down-filled snow parka. Be on the lookout for telephone calls from former employers.
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The earliest known use of paper currency was about 1270 in China during the rule of Kubla Khan.
"If we all did the things we are capable of doing, we would literally astound ourselves."

-- Thomas Edison

GARCH
Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity
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