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INDEPENDENT VARIABLE: A variable that is identified outside the workings of the model. Also termed an exogenous variable, an independent variable is in essence the "input" of the model. It should be compared with an endogenous variable this is the "output" of the model.

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TAX MULTIPLIER

A measure of the change in aggregate production caused by changes in government taxes. The tax multiplier is the negative marginal propensity to consume times one minus the slope of the aggregate expenditures line. The simple tax multiplier includes ONLY induced consumption. More complex tax multipliers include other induced components. Two related multipliers are the expenditures multiplier, which measures the change in aggregate production caused by changes in an autonomous aggregate expenditure, and the balanced-budget multiplier which measures the change in aggregate production from equal changes in both taxes and government purchases.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time at the confiscated property police auction seeking to buy either several magazines on home repairs or a remote controlled sports car with an air spoiler. Be on the lookout for bottles of barbeque sauce that act TOO innocent.
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Parker Brothers, the folks who produce the Monopoly board game, prints more Monopoly money each year than real currency printed by the U.S. government.
"Every time you win, it diminishes the fear a little bit. You never really cancel the fear of losing; you keep challenging it. "

-- Arthur Ashe, tennis player

ARIMA
Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average
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