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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATOR: One of eleven economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months before the expansions and contractions of the business cycle. These leading indicators are -- manufacturers new orders, an index of vendor performance, orders for plant and equipment, Standard & Poor's 500 index of stock prices, new building permits, durable goods manufacturers unfilled orders, the money supply, change in materials prices, average workweek in manufacturing, changes in business and consumer credit, a consumer confidence index, and initial claims for unemployment insurance. Leading indicators indicate what the aggregate economy is likely to do, business-cycle-wise, 3 to 12 months down the road. When leading indicators rise today, then the rest of the economy is likely to rise in the coming year. And when leading indicators decline, then the economy is likely to decline in 3 to 12 months.
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SAVINGS AND LOAN ASSOCIATIONS Depository financial institutions that were originally established to assist home owners with low-cost mortgage loans using savings deposits. Savings and loan associations (S&Ls) offer checkable deposits that are part of the M1 monetary aggregate. While S&Ls are not "officially" chartered as banks, similar to other thrift institutions (credit unions and mutual savings banks) they do function comparable to any traditional bank, offering a wide range of deposits, loans, and other financial services.
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Okun's Law posits that the unemployment rate increases by 1% for every 2% gap between real GDP and full-employment real GDP.
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"Most human beings have an almost infinite capacity for taking things for granted. " -- Aldous Huxley, writer
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DCF
Discounted Cash Flow
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