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July 18, 2026 

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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATOR: One of eleven economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months before the expansions and contractions of the business cycle. These leading indicators are -- manufacturers new orders, an index of vendor performance, orders for plant and equipment, Standard & Poor's 500 index of stock prices, new building permits, durable goods manufacturers unfilled orders, the money supply, change in materials prices, average workweek in manufacturing, changes in business and consumer credit, a consumer confidence index, and initial claims for unemployment insurance. Leading indicators indicate what the aggregate economy is likely to do, business-cycle-wise, 3 to 12 months down the road. When leading indicators rise today, then the rest of the economy is likely to rise in the coming year. And when leading indicators decline, then the economy is likely to decline in 3 to 12 months.

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CONSUMERS: A broad term for people when they are engaged in the use of goods and services to satisfy wants and needs. Consumers are part of the household sector.

     See also | consumer behavior | demand | utility | satisfaction | consumer demand theory | household sector | Consumer Price Index |


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EXCESS DEMAND

A disequilibrium condition in a competitive market in which the quantity demanded is greater than the quantity supplied. Excess demand is another way to say shortage. It also goes by the common term of sellers' market. Excess demand is one of two disequilibrium states of the market. The other is excess supply (or surplus).

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time calling an endless list of 800 numbers wanting to buy either a weathervane with a cow on top or a box of multi-colored, plastic paper clips. Be on the lookout for high interest rates.
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In the late 1800s and early 1900s, almost 2 million children were employed as factory workers.
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