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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATOR: One of eleven economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months before the expansions and contractions of the business cycle. These leading indicators are -- manufacturers new orders, an index of vendor performance, orders for plant and equipment, Standard & Poor's 500 index of stock prices, new building permits, durable goods manufacturers unfilled orders, the money supply, change in materials prices, average workweek in manufacturing, changes in business and consumer credit, a consumer confidence index, and initial claims for unemployment insurance. Leading indicators indicate what the aggregate economy is likely to do, business-cycle-wise, 3 to 12 months down the road. When leading indicators rise today, then the rest of the economy is likely to rise in the coming year. And when leading indicators decline, then the economy is likely to decline in 3 to 12 months.
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SECOND ESTATE Another term for the business sector. This is one of four divisions of society based on economic function. The other three are government as the first estate, consumers as the third estate, and journalists as the fourth estate.
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BLACK DISMALAPOD
[What's This?]
Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time watching infomercials seeking to buy either an electric coffee pot with automatic shutoff or a brown leather attache case. Be on the lookout for crowded shopping malls.
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This isn't me! What am I?
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A scripophilist is one who collects rare stock and bond certificates, usually from extinct companies.
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"The time to repair the roof is when the sun is shining." -- John F. Kennedy, 35th U. S. president
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VAR
Vector Autoregression
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