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March 15, 2025 

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CARTEL: A formal agreement between businesses in the same industry, usually on an international scale, to get market control, raise the market price, and otherwise act like a monopoly. A cartel tends to be unstable because the artificially high prices it sets gives each member of the cartel an incentive to "cheat" with a slightly lower price. When only one member of the cartel lowers the price, it can make oodles of profit by taking customers away from the other members. If they all cheat, the cartel falls apart. While cartels damage efficiency, they're power is often short-lived because of this cheating. Like collusion and other techniques of market control, cartels are illegal in the United States.

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CONSUMER CONFIDENCE: In general, this is the notion of how much confidence that consumers (the public) have in the present and future performance of the economy. Consumer confidence is a key determinant of the aggregate demand curve and the source of business-cycle instability. A sudden drop in consumer confidence can trigger a contraction, while overly optimistic consumers can keep an economy expanding, even though it shouldn't. Consumer confidence is generally measured by periodic surveys which ask consumers about their degree of confidence in the economy.

     See also | business cycle | contraction | expansion | leading economic indicator | consumers | consumption expenditures |


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POTENTIAL REAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

The total real output (real gross domestic product) that the economy can produce if resources are fully employed. In theory this means that the economy is operating ON the production possibilities frontier. Full employment is generally indicated by achieving what is termed the natural unemployment rate. If the economy is at full employment then actual real gross domestic product is equal to potential real gross domestic product and the actual unemployment rate is equal to the natural unemployment rate. The macroeconomy is thus living up to its potential.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time at a dollar discount store hoping to buy either a birthday gift for your uncle or a pair of red and purple designer socks. Be on the lookout for slightly overweight pizza delivery guys.
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In the Middle Ages, pepper was used for bartering, and it was often more valuable and stable in value than gold.
"I don't subscribe to the thesis, 'Let the buyer beware,' I prefer the disregarded one that goes, 'Let the seller be honest.'"

-- Isaac Asimov, Author

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