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DISINFLATION: A decline in the inflation rate. With disinflation, prices are still rising, they're just not rising as fast. Numerically speaking, if the inflation rate was 10% last year, 6% this year, and looks to be 4% next year, then we have disinflation. Disinflation, a reduction in the inflation rate, is not the same as deflation, a decline in the price level. Prices continue to rise with disinflation, just not as fast. Should disinflation continue, presumably because anti-inflationary monetary or fiscal policies are working effectively, then the average price level could decline and we make the transition to deflation.

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The Crystal Ball Of ECONOMIC FORECASTING

How often has this happened to you? You've packed a tasty picnic lunch, donned your spiffy-looking swimwear, loaded up the beach blanket and umbrella, then headed for the artificial waves of the local Happy-Time Gala-World Fun-Land Water Park expecting bright sunshine and warm temperatures. However, upon reaching Happy-Time Gala-World Fun-Land Water Park you find that the economy has fallen into a deep recession, with high unemployment rates and sluggish production, and the owners of the Happy-Time Gala-World Fun-Land Water Park have been forced to turn off the artificial wave machine, dismantle the water slides, and drain the pool. (It's also raining and 50 degrees. We will, however, ignore those problems because this isn't A Pedestrian's Guide to Meteorology.)
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BLACK DISMALAPOD
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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time visiting every yard sale in a 30-mile radius trying to buy either storage boxes for your computer software CDs or a set of tires. Be on the lookout for jovial bank tellers.
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General Electric is the only stock from the original 1896 Dow Jones Industrial Average remaining in the current index.
"It is very rare that you meet with obstacles in this world (that) the humblest man has not the faculties to surmount. "

-- Henry David Thoreau, philosopher

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