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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATOR: One of eleven economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months before the expansions and contractions of the business cycle. These leading indicators are -- manufacturers new orders, an index of vendor performance, orders for plant and equipment, Standard & Poor's 500 index of stock prices, new building permits, durable goods manufacturers unfilled orders, the money supply, change in materials prices, average workweek in manufacturing, changes in business and consumer credit, a consumer confidence index, and initial claims for unemployment insurance. Leading indicators indicate what the aggregate economy is likely to do, business-cycle-wise, 3 to 12 months down the road. When leading indicators rise today, then the rest of the economy is likely to rise in the coming year. And when leading indicators decline, then the economy is likely to decline in 3 to 12 months.

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ACCELERATOR: The ratio between investment expenditures and the change in gross domestic product. This is based on the notion that business investment depends on the rate of growth of aggregate output. If the economy is expanding, in other words, then the business sector invests in more capital goods to produce the extra output needed. This accelerator effect modifies and magnifies the simply multiplier effect based on the induced consumption and the marginal propensity to consume.

     See also | Keynesian economics | marginal efficiency of investment | multiplier | investment expenditure | gross domestic product | induced investment | marginal propensity to consume |


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ECONOMIC GROWTH

The long-run expansion of the economy's ability to produce output. Growth is attained by increasing the quantity or quality of the economy's resources--labor, capital, land, and entrepreneurship--through such things as population growth, investment, exploration, technological innovation, and education. This is one of the five economic goals and more specifically one of the three macroeconomic goals. The other goals are full employment, stability, efficiency and equity.

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Okun's Law posits that the unemployment rate increases by 1% for every 2% gap between real GDP and full-employment real GDP.
"The majority of men meet with failure because of their lack of persistence in creating new plans to take the place of those that fail. "

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