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November 12, 2025 

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RISK PREMIUM: This has two very closely related uses. First, it's what risk averse people are willing to pay to avoid a risky situation. For example, if you would be equally happy with a guaranteed $900 or a 50-50 chance of getting either $500 or $1,500, then you're risk premium is $100. Second, it's the extra percentage points added to an interest rate to compensate for the risk of a loan. As a general rule, each 1 percent chance of default on a loan adds a risk premium of about 1 percent to the interest rate.

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MANAGED FLOAT: An exchange rate that (like a floating exchange rate) is free to move up and down, but is subject to government control (like a fixed exchange rate) if it moves beyond certain boundaries. With managed float, the government steps into the foreign exchange market and buys or and sells whatever currency is necessary keep the exchange rate within desired limits. The logic behind managed float is that an unrestricted movement of exchange rates is usually pretty healthy, but serious problems in the balance of payment and balance of trade result if it floats too far in either direction.

     See also | exchange rate | foreign exchange | fixed exchange rate | floating exchange rate | foreign exchange market | balance of payments | balance of trade | G-7 | International Monetary Fund |


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CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX

A measure of consumer attitudes, preferences, and expectations concerning the state of the economy and business cycle conditions that is compiled each month by The Conference Board. The Conference Board is also responsible for compiling the leading, coincident, and lagging economic indicators. The Consumer Confidence Index is one of two primary measures of consumer attitudes. The other is the Index of Consumer Sentiment developed by the University of Michigan.

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BEIGE MUNDORTLE
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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time at an auction wanting to buy either a desktop calendar with all federal and state holidays highlighted or a half-dozen helium filled balloons. Be on the lookout for telephone calls from former employers.
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The first "Black Friday" on record, a friday marked by a major financial catastrophe, occurred on September 24, 1869 -- A FRIDAY -- when an attempted cornering of the gold market induced a financial crises and economy-wide depression.
"The art of leadership is saying no, not yes. It is very easy to say yes. "

-- Tony Blair, British prime minister

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